It’s very difficulty to predict mortgage rates and what will happen in 2023.
The Bank of England base rate has risen several times in 2022 in order to try and curb rising inflation. The base rate directly affects most tracker mortgages, but it also influences the rates on other variable-rate mortgages and fixed-rate deals.
This means that mortgage rates have also increased throughout 2022. However, in November we have actually seen rates decrease for lots of mortgage deals (not including tracker rates), despite the base rate rising to 3%.
This is because, due to the economic uncertainty caused by the UK's mini-budget in September, gilt yields shot up which pushed up the costs of borrowing for banks. Lenders then priced a significant increase into their mortgage deals.
However, gilt yields have now decreased and the base rate is also not predicted to rise as much as previously expected, so many lenders are now reducing rates.
As lenders had already factored significant rate increases into their deals, while we might see the base rate continue to rise into 2023, we may actually see the rates on many fixed-rate and variable-rate deals decrease or remain steady.